bitcoin options

One Year Later: What Our Model Got Wrong — and September 2027 Scenarios

In September 2025, we published Wishful Thinking, Statistics, and Modeling, a deliberately optimistic attempt to model where TerraMatris could be a year later. Its starting value was $10,500. The headline possibility was a portfolio of roughly $24,000 by September 2026.

A year later, I am not interested in defending that estimate. I want to compare its premises with what we actually experienced in the portfolio. The latest public Trading Journal report available at the time of writing, dated September 25, 2026, records TerraM Multi Asset at $4,699. That is down 55.25% from the $10,…

Ep 160 / Bitcoin Buy-Write Returns to TerraM Multi Asset as Ethereum Options Strategy Rebuilds

Another interesting week across crypto markets.

Bitcoin fell and traded around $76,800, Ethereum declined approximately 0.5–1% over the week, while Solana underperformed slightly after its recent rally, trading near $99–100.

The broader market was driven by renewed macro pressure: rising oil prices, higher Treasury yields, inflation concerns, and increased expectations of a more restrictive Federal Reserve path. Crypto ETF flows provided some support earlier in the week, but risk appetite weakened as markets focused on inflation data and the upcoming Fed decision.

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